Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Honor of Kings Lower bracket final match between Deep Cross Gaming and ANK Gaming in the Garena Challenger Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Deep Cross Gaming" if Deep Cross Gaming win the match against ANK Gaming. This market will resolve to "ANK Gaming" if ANK Gaming win the match against Deep Cross Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 5 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 6 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The Garena Challenger Series Playoffs lower bracket final will pit Deep Cross Gaming against ANK Gaming in a best-of-seven match in the Honor of Kings competitive ecosystem. The fixture is scheduled for 2 May at 01:00 ET, with settlement occurring at 11:15 ET the same day. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Deep Cross Gaming, suggesting the market has priced in either overwhelming confidence in their victory or material uncertainty about match execution itself.
Lower bracket finals in regional Honor of Kings competitions have historically shown volatile outcomes, particularly when facing teams with limited prior head-to-head records. The 100% probability reading is atypical for esports matchups and typically indicates either extreme confidence differential between the teams, significant information asymmetry favouring one side, or liquidity constraints on the order book limiting price discovery. Comparable Garena Challenger Series matches have settled with winners determined in five to seven games, though upsets do occur when lower-seeded teams execute superior macro play.
Key catalysts for traders include official confirmation of team rosters and any last-minute roster changes, which Garena typically announces 24–48 hours before playoff fixtures. Schedule adherence is critical given the seven-day delay clause in settlement terms. Monitor Garena's official channels and team social media for withdrawal announcements or technical issues that could trigger the 50-50 resolution condition. Current market depth should be assessed before entry, as the extreme probability may reflect thin liquidity rather than genuine certainty about match outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AEaKCUAr3e0. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Honor of Kings: Deep Cross Gaming vs ANK Gaming (BO7) - Garena Challenger Series Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$660 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AEaKCUAr3e0. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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