Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between TYLOO and Sinners in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 3 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against Sinners. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win the match against TYLOO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5) | 28% YES | 73% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
TYLOO, the Chinese esports organisation, face Sinners, a Czech-Slovak roster, in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 group phase on 3 June 2026. The fixture is scheduled for 10:30 AM ET, with settlement occurring at 20:30 UTC the same day. At present, Polymarket's order book reflects a 49% implied probability for TYLOO victory, suggesting near-parity in market expectations despite TYLOO's historical standing as a stronger regional competitor.
TYLOO have maintained inconsistent international form over recent seasons, alternating between competitive performances at tier-one events and struggles against established European sides. Sinners, whilst improving their ranking trajectory, remain a secondary-tier European team. Historical matchups between Chinese and Central European rosters at Major events show marginal edges favouring the former, though the variance is substantial. The current 49-51 split on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear consensus, with both teams capable of securing the series under tournament conditions.
Traders should monitor official IEM scheduling confirmations and any roster changes announced before 3 June, as player availability or last-minute substitutions could shift competitive balance. Recent ESL announcements regarding Major format stability suggest the match is unlikely to face cancellation, though technical delays remain a minor consideration given the tournament's infrastructure. Fixture positioning within the group stage and seeding implications may also influence team preparation intensity, particularly if either side has secured advancement prior to this round.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCSb. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$38K in lifetime turnover and $46K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $38K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCSb. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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