Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between ex-RUBY and INOX Division in the CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-RUBY" if ex-RUBY win the match against INOX Division. This market will resolve to "INOX Division" if INOX Division win the match against ex-RUBY. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Ex-RUBY and INOX Division are scheduled to meet in Round 4 of the CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage on 10 May at 1:00PM ET in a best-of-three match. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at YES, reflecting a 0% implied probability—a stark assessment of ex-RUBY's chances against their opponent in this regional Counter-Strike competition.
The 0% probability suggests either decisive historical performance data or structural information about team composition and recent form. CCT Europe tournaments typically feature established rosters competing across multiple rounds, and such extreme probabilities in esports markets usually emerge when one team has demonstrably superior recent results, higher-ranked players, or known roster advantages. Without recent public match results between these specific squads, the probability likely reflects broader competitive tier assessments within the CCT circuit or known roster changes affecting ex-RUBY's competitive standing.
Traders should monitor for schedule confirmations, roster announcements, or withdrawal notices through the CCT's official channels and team social media accounts prior to the 10 May fixture. Any last-minute roster substitutions, player unavailability, or venue changes could shift the underlying competitive dynamics. The settlement window closes 7 days after the scheduled start time, meaning delays beyond 17 May would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Match cancellation or failure to complete would similarly resolve to 50-50, creating tail-risk scenarios distinct from the current market pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$49K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $47K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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