Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between paiN Academy and Players in the CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN Academy" if paiN Academy win the match against Players. This market will resolve to "Players" if Players win the match against paiN Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 58% YES | 42% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 55% YES | 45% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Players (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
paiN Academy face Players in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match within the CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage, scheduled for 13 May at 6:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 60% implied probability for paiN Academy victory, suggesting market participants view them as moderate favourites. This probability has formed through trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools, with the spread between bid and ask prices narrowing as settlement approaches.
paiN Academy represents the academy roster of the established paiN Gaming organisation, typically fielding developing talent within the South American competitive scene. Players, as a standalone roster, operates outside a major organisation's infrastructure. Historical matchups between academy sides and independent teams in regional CCT tournaments show considerable variance, though academy rosters backed by established organisations tend to benefit from superior coaching, scrim access, and resource allocation. The 60% probability reflects this structural advantage whilst acknowledging the unpredictability inherent in best-of-three formats where individual map performance and player form create substantial volatility.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions, which remain common in South American Counter-Strike through the settlement window closing 14 May at 04:00 UTC. Technical delays or scheduling shifts affecting the 7-day window could trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Recent CCT South America broadcasts have demonstrated variable production quality and occasional fixture postponements, making schedule adherence a material consideration for position management.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs3. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$51 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $51 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs3. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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