Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Omega and HAVU in the CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 9 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Omega" if Omega win the match against HAVU. This market will resolve to "HAVU" if HAVU win the match against Omega. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: HAVU (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Omega and HAVU will contest a best-of-three Counter-Strike match in the CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage on 9 May at 10:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability for Omega, reflecting either strong market conviction favouring HAVU or illiquidity in the book at present. Settlement occurs at 20:00 UTC on 9 May, with resolution contingent on match completion; cancellations, ties, or delays exceeding seven days trigger a 50-50 split.
The CCT Europe Series represents a secondary-tier competitive circuit within Counter-Strike 2's ecosystem. Historical context suggests that matches in group-stage formats at this tier carry meaningful uncertainty; upsets occur regularly when teams lack established track records or recent LAN results. HAVU's current standing relative to Omega—whether one side enters as favourites based on recent online results, roster stability, or head-to-head records—will determine whether the 0% reading reflects genuine consensus or merely thin liquidity in the order book. Traders should examine recent match results and team compositions from both sides.
Key catalysts include any roster changes or player absences announced before the match, official confirmation of the scheduled start time, and platform-specific announcements regarding the CCT Europe Series broadcast schedule. Delays or postponements are material risks given the seven-day threshold for resolution. Monitoring CCT's official channels and Counter-Strike esports news outlets for fixture updates remains essential, particularly given the compressed timeline between now and settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Omega vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$122K in lifetime turnover and $200K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $122K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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