Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between OLDBOYS- and B8 Academy in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 4 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "OLDBOYS-" if OLDBOYS- win the match against B8 Academy. This market will resolve to "B8 Academy" if B8 Academy win the match against OLDBOYS-. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
OLDBOYS- and B8 Academy are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season on 4 May at 2:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at YES, reflecting a 0% implied probability—a position that typically emerges when one side is perceived as heavily favoured or when liquidity has not yet accumulated around the match. Settlement occurs shortly after the scheduled fixture time, with a 7-day grace period for completion before the market resolves to 50-50 in the event of cancellation or indefinite delay.
B8 Academy operates as a developmental roster within the B8 organisation, which competes across multiple Counter-Strike divisions in Eastern Europe. OLDBOYS- competes as an independent squad within the same regional circuit. Historical precedent in ESEA Advanced suggests that academy-tier teams typically face structural disadvantages in preparation depth and player consistency relative to established rosters, though individual match outcomes remain volatile given the format's single-map constraint and the skill variance present at this competitive level.
Traders monitoring this fixture should track roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced by either organisation in the 48 hours preceding match time. ESEA's official schedule and team announcements remain the primary information sources for fixture status. Unexpected roster changes or withdrawal announcements would trigger immediate settlement considerations under the market's cancellation clause, whilst technical issues during play could invoke the incomplete-match resolution framework detailed in the market terms.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs B8 Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$214 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: