Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between KOLESIE and TDK in the CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KOLESIE" if KOLESIE win the match against TDK. This market will resolve to "TDK" if TDK win the match against KOLESIE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
KOLESIE and TDK face off in a Counter-Strike Round of 16 match within the CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs, scheduled for 13 May at 10:00 AM ET. The best-of-three format will determine which team advances, with settlement occurring at 20:00 UTC on the same day. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 41% implied probability for KOLESIE victory, suggesting TDK enters as the marginal favourite despite the relatively tight odds.
CCT Europe tournaments have historically featured competitive rosters from across the continent, with outcomes often turning on recent form and map pool compatibility rather than raw ranking disparity. Teams competing at this stage typically operate within established regional circuits; KOLESIE and TDK's recent placements in qualifying rounds and online qualifiers provide the most reliable baseline for assessing relative strength. The 41% probability indicates traders perceive meaningful uncertainty, consistent with matches between evenly matched mid-tier European sides where individual map performance and in-game execution carry substantial weight.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements regarding any schedule changes or roster confirmations in the days preceding the match, as player unavailability or last-minute substitutions have occasionally affected outcomes in regional tournaments. Map veto announcements typically occur shortly before the match begins; understanding each team's recent map-specific win rates on the three likely selections will inform late-market movements. The seven-day delay clause means any postponement beyond 20 May would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating a secondary risk factor distinct from match outcome uncertainty.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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