Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Johnny Speeds and Walczaki in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Johnny Speeds" if Johnny Speeds win the match against Walczaki. This market will resolve to "Walczaki" if Walczaki win the match against Johnny Speeds. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 36% YES | 64% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+1.5) | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Johnny Speeds and Walczaki face off in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, scheduled for 13 May at 04:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Johnny Speeds at 35% implied probability, suggesting market participants favour Walczaki as the likely winner. This pricing reflects real-time trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools, with the spread between bid and ask orders forming the consensus probability visible to traders entering the market today.
Counter-Strike group stage matches between lesser-known or emerging players typically show wider probability ranges than established professional fixtures, partly because historical performance data remains sparse and team compositions shift frequently. Johnny Speeds' current 35% odds position him as the underdog, a classification that often reflects limited tournament history or recent results against comparable opposition. The BO3 format introduces variance—single-map upsets are common in Counter-Strike, though winning two maps consecutively requires sustained performance that favours the higher-seeded competitor.
Key variables for traders include fixture confirmation closer to the scheduled date, any last-minute roster changes or stand-in announcements from either team, and whether either player publishes recent scrim results or streaming content that might signal form. The seven-day delay clause in the settlement terms creates a specific risk window; matches postponed beyond 13 May without completion trigger a 50-50 resolution. Monitor NODWIN's official communications and the Clutch Series schedule for any rescheduling announcements, which could materially shift the order book if they suggest logistical complications affecting either competitor's preparation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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