Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Glitchtech Esports and FC Famalicão Esports in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 13 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Glitchtech Esports" if Glitchtech Esports win the match against FC Famalicão Esports. This market will resolve to "FC Famalicão Esports" if FC Famalicão Esports win the match against Glitchtech Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Glitchtech Esports and FC Famalicão Esports will contest a best-of-one Counter-Strike match in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season on 13 May at 11:30AM ET. The settlement window closes at 21:45 UTC the same day, allowing roughly ten hours for the match to conclude. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating genuine uncertainty amongst traders regarding which team will secure the map victory.
Both organisations compete in ESEA's Advanced tier, a mid-level European competitive structure where roster stability and preparation depth vary considerably. Historical precedent in ESEA Advanced suggests that matches between similarly-ranked teams often settle near even odds when limited public information exists on recent form, head-to-head records, or roster changes. The 50-50 implied probability aligns with this pattern when neither side has established dominance in the current season or demonstrated clear tactical advantages in recent fixtures.
Traders should monitor for roster announcements, player absences, or technical issues in the days preceding the match. ESEA Advanced fixtures occasionally experience scheduling delays or cancellations due to player availability conflicts or server problems, which would trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause. Recent form data, including map pool preferences and anti-eco success rates from both teams' preceding matches, would provide directional signals. Any public statements regarding preparation or confidence from either organisation's coaching staff could shift the order book before the 11:30AM ET start time.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/tavarescs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Glitchtech Esports vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seas" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$161 in lifetime turnover and $200 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $161 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/tavarescs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: