Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Brevis's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Brevis (https://x.com/brevis_zk) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| $300M | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| $600M | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| $100M | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| $200M | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| $400M | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| $500M | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| $700M | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| $800M | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Brevis is preparing to launch a governance token, with the market assessing whether its fully diluted valuation will exceed a specified threshold within 24 hours of public trading commencing. The FDV calculation uses total token supply multiplied by the price on the most liquid available exchange, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the day following launch. The 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects confidence that this valuation hurdle will be cleared, though the specific threshold in the title determines the actual resolution criteria.
Token launch valuations in the crypto sector have historically shown substantial variance depending on project positioning, market conditions, and initial liquidity depth. Comparable governance token launches have frequently achieved significant FDV figures within hours of trading, particularly when projects carry established user bases or developer ecosystems. However, FDV calculations can be volatile when based on thin order books or limited trading volume, and initial price discovery often differs materially from longer-term valuations as liquidity deepens and trading patterns stabilise.
Traders should monitor Brevis's official communications regarding exact launch timing, initial token distribution parameters, and exchange listing announcements. Market conditions at launch will prove material—broader crypto market sentiment, competing token launches, and macroeconomic factors during the settlement window through January 2027 will influence both immediate price action and sustained valuation levels. The resolution depends critically on identifying the most liquid price source available at the specified time, which may shift if trading migrates between venues following launch.
Dewald Tobias Brevis is a South African cricketer. He plays for the Titans in domestic cricket and Chennai Super Kings in the Indian Premier League. He is a right handed batsman and occasionally bowls leg spin. He holds the record for the highest score in T20 cricket in South Africa as well as the fastest 150 in T20 cricket in South Africa.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Brevis FDV above ___ one day after launch?" are the same as any other PolyGram crypto-price event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.4M in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for crypto contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for 4 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 January 2027. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: