Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Laura Samson in the Makarska, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Lazaro Garcia' if Andrea Lazaro Garcia advances against Laura Samson. This market will resolve to 'Laura Samson' if Laura Samson advances against Andrea Lazaro Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samson Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samson Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samson Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samson Match O/U 23.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samson Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samson Set 1 Winner | 45% YES | 55% NO |
| Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samson Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samson Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Laura Samson are scheduled to compete in a tennis match in Makarska on 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating traders view this as a genuine toss-up with neither player favoured. The settlement window closes on 10 June, allowing a seven-day buffer for rescheduling before the market resolves to a tie-break outcome.
Both players compete on the ITF Women's Circuit and lower-tier professional tours where match outcomes carry greater variance than established WTA rankings suggest. Historical precedent shows matches between similarly-ranked ITF competitors typically reflect genuine uncertainty in pricing; the 50-50 probability aligns with standard market behaviour when head-to-head records are sparse or recent form data is limited. Recent ITF results for both players would be the primary determinant of whether this probability should drift materially.
Traders should monitor several factors: official confirmation the match proceeds as scheduled, any late withdrawals or injury announcements from either player, and weather conditions in Makarska during early June. The 4:00 AM ET start time is notably early and could affect player preparation or scheduling reliability. Any postponement beyond the scheduled date triggers the seven-day clock; matches delayed beyond 10 June without completion would settle at 50-50 regardless of match status, creating a specific risk vector for positions held through that window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samson" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$196 in lifetime turnover and $9K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $196 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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