Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Nastasja Schunk and Mina Hodzic in the ITF Women Caserta, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 6:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nastasja Schunk' if Nastasja Schunk advances against Mina Hodzic. This market will resolve to 'Mina Hodzic' if Mina Hodzic advances against Nastasja Schunk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Caserta: Nastasja Schunk vs Mina Hodzic | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Nastasja Schunk faces Mina Hodzic in the ITF Women's tournament at Caserta, scheduled for 4 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional fixture where both players compete for ranking points and prize money on the ITF circuit. The current order book on Polymarket prices Schunk's advancement at 56%, reflecting a modest favourite position rather than a commanding edge. This probability has formed through recent trading activity and reflects the market's assessment of relative form, head-to-head record, and surface suitability.
Schunk, a German player, and Hodzic, from Bosnia and Herzegovina, operate within the ITF Women's 25K and 15K tournament structure where consistency and recent match fitness often determine outcomes more sharply than at higher WTA levels. Historical ITF matchups between players of comparable ranking typically show favourites in the 55–65% range converting roughly 60–65% of the time, suggesting the current pricing sits within normal parameters. Neither player commands the kind of dominant record that would justify substantially higher odds.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament communications for any withdrawal announcements or schedule changes in the week preceding 4 June. Surface conditions at the Caserta venue—typically clay—favour baseline players with strong defensive records. Recent tournament results from both players in May 2026 will provide the most reliable indicator of current form, as ITF draws shift rapidly and momentum matters significantly at this level. The settlement window closes on 11 June, allowing a seven-day buffer for delayed matches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caserta: Nastasja Schunk vs Mina Hodzic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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