Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Giulio Perego and Massimo Giunta in the ITF Men Caltanissetta, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Perego' if Giulio Perego advances against Massimo Giunta. This market will resolve to 'Massimo Giunta' if Massimo Giunta advances against Giulio Perego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| ITF Caltanissetta: Giulio Perego vs Massimo Giunta | 26% YES | 74% NO |
Giulio Perego and Massimo Giunta are scheduled to meet in the ITF Men's Caltanissetta tournament on 2 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the ITF circuit, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating traders perceive neither player as a clear favourite at present pricing.
Both Perego and Giunta operate within the ITF Men's circuit, where head-to-head records and recent form carry substantial weight in match outcomes. Historical ITF matchups at this tier often turn on surface conditions—Caltanissetta's clay court characteristics—and recent tournament momentum. Limited public betting liquidity on ITF matches of this calibre means the 50-50 probability may reflect genuine uncertainty rather than deep analytical consensus. Comparable ITF fixtures typically see probability shifts only when one player's recent results or ranking trajectory become materially clearer.
Key catalysts include confirmation of both players' participation as the June date approaches, any injury announcements, and recent tournament results from May 2026 that might signal form changes. Weather disruptions or scheduling delays could trigger the tie-resolution clause, which would resolve the market to 50-50 regardless of competitive outcome. The settlement window closes 9 June 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer for match completion or cancellation determination. Traders should monitor ITF official draws and player social media for withdrawal announcements, as lower-ranked players occasionally withdraw from scheduled fixtures.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caltanissetta: Giulio Perego vs Massimo Giunta" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$8K in lifetime turnover and $17K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $8K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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