Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Oliver Ojakaar and Jack Satterfield in the ITF Men Lakewood, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Ojakaar' if Oliver Ojakaar advances against Jack Satterfield. This market will resolve to 'Jack Satterfield' if Jack Satterfield advances against Oliver Ojakaar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Oliver Ojakaar vs Jack Satterfield | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Oliver Ojakaar and Jack Satterfield are scheduled to meet in the ITF Men's Lakewood tournament on 27 May 2026 at 1:00PM ET. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the ITF circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Ojakaar, suggesting the market has priced in either a significant disparity in player quality, recent form data, or head-to-head record favouring the Estonian player.
ITF Men's matches at this level carry historical volatility in prediction markets due to limited public information and smaller sample sizes compared to ATP-level fixtures. Upsets occur regularly on the ITF circuit, particularly when lower-ranked or less-established players face off. The extreme probability reading warrants scrutiny—such pricing often reflects either genuine asymmetry in player capabilities or insufficient liquidity in the order book creating wide spreads. Comparable ITF fixtures typically settle with winners having odds ranging from 55–75%, depending on ranking differential and recent tournament performance.
Key catalysts include confirmation of both players' participation as the match date approaches, any injury announcements, and weather conditions in Lakewood on the scheduled date. The settlement window closes 7 days after the original date, meaning delays beyond 3 June 2026 trigger a 50-50 resolution. Traders should monitor ITF tournament updates and player social media for withdrawal notices, which occasionally occur in lower-tier events.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Oliver Ojakaar vs Jack Satterfield" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$176 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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