Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Matthew William Donald in the ITF Men Grado, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini' if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini advances against Matthew William Donald. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Grado: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Matthew William Donald | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini faces Matthew William Donald in an ITF Men's event at Grado, scheduled for 26 May 2026. The match is part of the ITF World Tennis Tour, a professional circuit for players developing their ranking points and match experience below ATP level. The current orderbook on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to Costanzo Baragiola Mordini's victory, reflecting either minimal trading activity or strong conviction towards Donald's chances. Settlement occurs on 2 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for match completion.
ITF matches at this level typically involve players ranked outside the top 500, where form and recent match play carry substantial weight. Donald's apparent favouritism on the orderbook suggests either superior recent results, a higher ranking, or established head-to-head record. Without recent tournament results or ranking data publicly available for both players, the 0% probability may reflect illiquidity rather than certainty—ITF events often attract limited trading volume compared to ATP or Grand Slam fixtures.
Traders should monitor the ITF official schedule for any cancellations, weather delays, or withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 26 May. Grado's coastal Italian location occasionally experiences scheduling disruptions. Any player withdrawal or match postponement beyond seven days triggers the tie/no-contest resolution clause. Early trading activity, once volume emerges, will likely recalibrate the probability substantially from its current extreme position.
Note: in this context, IT does not mean Information Technology, but it is an Engineering term.
The ITF Grand Prix Circuit was a professional tennis tour for male players founded in 1970 as the Grand Prix Tennis Circuit it was administered by the International Tennis Federation (ITF) and ran annually until 1989 when it and the rival WCT Circuit were replaced by a single world wide ATP Tour.
The ITF Junior Circuit is the premier level for worldwide competition among under-18 junior tennis players, organized by the International Tennis Federation. Founded in 1977 with only nine tournaments, the 2011 ITF Junior Circuit offered over 350 tournaments in 118 countries. Mirroring the ATP and WTA tours, the ITF Junior Circuit ranks players and crowns a
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Grado: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Matthew William Donald" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$545 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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