Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Andre Lukosiute and Romy De Baene in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 8:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andre Lukosiute' if Andre Lukosiute advances against Romy De Baene. This market will resolve to 'Romy De Baene' if Romy De Baene advances against Andre Lukosiute. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Romy De Baene | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
André Lukosiute and Romy De Baene are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's Monastir tournament on 27 May 2026. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Lukosiute's advancement, as shown across Polymarket's order book. This extreme skew suggests either substantial pre-match information favouring Lukosiute or limited liquidity at the current price, which typically occurs when one outcome appears heavily favoured by available data.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this level show considerable volatility in outcomes, particularly when ranking differentials exist between competitors. Historical resolution patterns indicate that matches settling at extreme probabilities (above 95%) occasionally reverse when lower-ranked players perform above expectations or when surface conditions favour particular playing styles. The Monastir clay courts introduce a specific variable; players with strong clay records have demonstrated capacity to upset higher-ranked opponents in ITF tournaments.
Traders should monitor official ITF draw confirmations and any withdrawal announcements through the ITF website through the settlement window closing on 3 June 2026. Player injury reports or late schedule adjustments could trigger significant repricing. The match's scheduled 8:15 AM ET start time on a weekday may also affect participation rates and liquidity depth on the order book. Any delay extending beyond 7 days from the original date without completion would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating tail risk for current positions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Romy De Baene" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$30 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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