Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Lucca Liu and Amit Vales in the ITF Men Lakewood, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 3:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucca Liu' if Lucca Liu advances against Amit Vales. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Lucca Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Lucca Liu vs Amit Vales | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Lucca Liu faces Amit Vales in an ITF Men's event at Lakewood, originally scheduled for 26 May 2026 at 3:15PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability for Liu's advancement, reflecting either minimal trading activity or strong conviction toward Vales. With settlement closing 2 June 2026, traders have approximately one week post-match to resolve the outcome, though any delay beyond seven days without a determined winner triggers a 50-50 split.
ITF Futures matches at this tier typically feature volatile probability shifts based on player availability and recent form data. Liu and Vales operate in the lower-ranked professional circuit where injury withdrawals, travel complications, and scheduling conflicts occur more frequently than ATP events. Historical precedent suggests that 0% probabilities on Polymarket often reflect sparse liquidity rather than certainty; comparable ITF matchups have seen sharp repricing once match day approaches and player confirmations become concrete.
Traders should monitor player social media and ITF official announcements for withdrawal notices or schedule changes in the fortnight before 26 May. Recent weather patterns affecting outdoor clay courts in the Lakewood region, published draw sheets confirming both players' participation, and any late-stage ranking updates could shift the order book substantially. Retirement or default scenarios—explicitly covered in the resolution criteria—remain material risks in lower-tier professional tennis and warrant close attention to pre-match reporting.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Lucca Liu vs Amit Vales" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$739 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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