Tennis

Trade: ITF Luan: Hanyi Liu vs Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Hanyi Liu and Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul in the ITF Men Luan, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hanyi Liu' if Hanyi Liu advances against Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul. This market will resolve to 'Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul' if Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul advances against Hanyi Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$467
Total Volume
$4
24h Volume
$4
Open Interest
$4
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

ITF Luan: Hanyi Liu vs Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul 44% YES56% NO
Completed Match 51% YES49% NO

Market context

Hanyi Liu faces Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul in an ITF Men's Luan tournament match scheduled for 2 June 2026 at 9:30PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Liu's advancement at 44%, reflecting modest confidence in the Chinese player despite home-region advantage considerations. Settlement occurs by 10 June 2026, with a seven-day grace period for delayed matches; cancellations or unfinished contests resolve 50-50.

Both players operate within the ITF Men's circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on recent form, surface conditions, and head-to-head records. Liu competes primarily on the Asian ITF circuit, whilst Trongcharoenchaikul represents Thailand's ITF contingent. Historical ITF Luan tournament data shows volatility in seeding reliability; lower-ranked players frequently upset favourites on hard courts, the typical Luan surface. The 44% probability suggests the market perceives Liu as slight favourite, though the pricing leaves substantial room for Trongcharoenchaikul's upset potential.

Traders should monitor ITF official announcements regarding court assignments and weather forecasts in the days preceding 2 June, as surface conditions materially affect outcomes for players with differing playing styles. Recent injury reports or withdrawal patterns from either player's recent tournament schedule warrant attention. The settlement window's tight closure—just over eight hours after the scheduled start—means delayed matches risk 50-50 resolution, a material tail risk that may influence current pricing relative to the underlying match fundamentals.

Wikipedia Context

  • ITF rankings

    The ITF rankings are the current rankings of national teams by the International Tennis Federation in both men's and women's tennis. The ITF also produces the ITF Davis Cup Nations Ranking for male national teams and the ITF Fed Cup Nations Ranking for female national teams. Both measure the success of all nations participating in both competitions.

  • ITF junior circuit

    The ITF Junior Circuit is the premier level for worldwide competition among under-18 junior tennis players, organized by the International Tennis Federation. Founded in 1977 with only nine tournaments, the 2011 ITF Junior Circuit offered over 350 tournaments in 118 countries. Mirroring the ATP and WTA tours, the ITF Junior Circuit ranks players and crowns a

  • ITS launch vehicle
    ITS launch vehicle

    The ITS launch vehicle was a 2016–2017 design for a privately funded very large 12-meter (39 ft)-diameter orbital launch vehicle planned to be developed by SpaceX. Design work was discontinued in 2017 when development was shifted to a smaller 9-meter version with approximately one-third the payload capability, announced under the project name BFR, and subseq

  • ITF Junior Masters

    The ITF Junior Finals is a year-end singles tournament for the top-ranked 18-and-under tennis players on the ITF Junior Circuit. It is the second most prestigious annual junior event in terms of rankings points awarded, after the four junior grand slams. Each year, eight boys and eight girls participate in separate events. The tournament is designed to emula

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "ITF Luan: Hanyi Liu vs Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$4 in lifetime turnover and $467 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

Last 24 hours alone saw $4 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "ITF Luan: Hanyi Liu vs Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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