Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Jose Gutierrez and Maximillian Figl in the ITF Men Kranjska Gora, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Jose Gutierrez' if Oscar Jose Gutierrez advances against Maximillian Figl. This market will resolve to 'Maximillian Figl' if Maximillian Figl advances against Oscar Jose Gutierrez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kranjska Gora: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Maximillian Figl | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Oscar Jose Gutierrez faces Maximillian Figl in an ITF Men's tournament match at Kranjska Gora on 26 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Gutierrez's victory, indicating the market is pricing an overwhelming likelihood of either Figl advancing or the match failing to conclude within the settlement parameters. With the settlement window closing on 2 June at 13:45 UTC, traders have a narrow window to assess match outcomes and potential disruptions.
ITF Futures events at lower-tier venues frequently experience scheduling delays and cancellations due to weather, player withdrawals, or facility constraints. Historical patterns suggest that matches at regional European ITF tournaments carry elevated non-completion risk compared to ATP or WTA fixtures. The 0% probability on Gutierrez reflects either exceptionally strong market conviction regarding Figl's superiority or significant uncertainty about match execution itself. Without recent form data or head-to-head records readily available for these lower-ranked players, the extreme probability skew warrants scrutiny regarding whether it reflects genuine competitive disparity or booking-related risk.
Traders should monitor ITF Kranjska Gora draw confirmations and player entry lists as the tournament date approaches. Weather forecasts for Slovenia in late May and any official tournament postponement announcements will be critical catalysts. Player withdrawal announcements or injury disclosures in the week preceding 26 May could trigger rapid repricing. The 7-day delay clause in settlement terms means matches postponed beyond 2 June automatically resolve 50-50, creating a distinct risk vector independent of competitive outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kranjska Gora: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Maximillian Figl" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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