Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Conor Gannon and Sebastiano Cocola in the ITF Men Caltanissetta, originally scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Conor Gannon' if Conor Gannon advances against Sebastiano Cocola. This market will resolve to 'Sebastiano Cocola' if Sebastiano Cocola advances against Conor Gannon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Caltanissetta: Conor Gannon vs Sebastiano Cocola | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Conor Gannon and Sebastiano Cocola are scheduled to meet in the ITF Men's Caltanissetta tournament on 1 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability for a Gannon victory, reflecting either strong backing for Cocola or minimal trading activity at present. With settlement occurring by 8 June 2026, the market window remains relatively tight, leaving limited time for position adjustment once play commences.
ITF Futures events at the Challenger and below level typically see modest liquidity on prediction markets, particularly for lower-ranked players competing in secondary European tournaments. Gannon, a player with limited ATP ranking history, faces an unfavourable implied probability that may reflect either Cocola's superior ranking or recent form, though the 0% reading suggests the market may be thinly traded rather than reflecting genuine consensus. Historical patterns show ITF matches frequently experience scheduling delays or cancellations due to weather or player withdrawals, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
Traders should monitor official ITF and ATP communications for any withdrawal announcements, particularly in the week preceding 1 June. Court conditions at the Caltanissetta venue and any late ranking updates could shift expectations. The settlement window extends seven days beyond the scheduled date, providing some buffer for delayed matches, though incomplete play without a determined winner would also resolve to 50-50. Current zero liquidity suggests early movers may face wide spreads if attempting to establish positions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caltanissetta: Conor Gannon vs Sebastiano Cocola" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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