Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Robin Catry and Julian Alonso Vivanco in the ITF Men Kutaisi, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Robin Catry' if Robin Catry advances against Julian Alonso Vivanco. This market will resolve to 'Julian Alonso Vivanco' if Julian Alonso Vivanco advances against Robin Catry. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kutaisi: Robin Catry vs Julian Alonso Vivanco | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Completed Match | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Robin Catry and Julian Alonso Vivanco are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Kutaisi tournament on 26 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture, with both players competing within the International Tennis Federation circuit rather than ATP-sanctioned events. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, suggesting traders perceive the matchup as genuinely competitive with insufficient historical data or recent form to favour either player decisively.
ITF Men's events typically feature players ranked between 300 and 800 on the ATP rankings, where individual match outcomes prove difficult to forecast with confidence. Head-to-head records between such players are often sparse or non-existent, and recent form data from lower-tier tournaments circulates less reliably than ATP coverage. The even probability distribution reflects this uncertainty rather than a balanced competitive assessment; traders lack sufficient information to move the market meaningfully in either direction.
Catalysts affecting settlement include confirmation of both players' participation as the tournament approaches, any withdrawal or injury announcements, and weather disruptions affecting the Kutaisi venue in late May. The seven-day grace period for delayed matches provides some buffer against scheduling complications, though ITF tournaments occasionally experience fixture cancellations. Traders should monitor ITF official announcements and player social media for withdrawal notices, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause and render current positions neutral.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kutaisi: Robin Catry vs Julian Alonso Vivanco" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$19K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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