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Tennis

Trade: ITF Oliva: Alba Maria Coromina Boluda vs Ares Teixido Garcia

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alba Maria Coromina Boluda and Ares Teixido Garcia in the ITF Women Oliva, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 10:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alba Maria Coromina Boluda' if Alba Maria Coromina Boluda advances against Ares Teixido Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Ares Teixido Garcia' if Ares Teixido Garcia advances against Alba Maria Coromina Boluda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
Total Volume
$625
24h Volume
Open Interest
$612
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

ITF Oliva: Alba Maria Coromina Boluda vs Ares Teixido Garcia 100% YES0% NO
Completed Match 100% YES0% NO

Market context

Alba Maria Coromina Boluda faces Ares Teixido Garcia in a women's ITF match scheduled for 26 May 2026 at the Oliva tournament. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Coromina Boluda's advancement, suggesting traders have assigned negligible probability to a Garcia victory or match cancellation. This extreme skew typically emerges when one player holds a decisive advantage in head-to-head record, ranking differential, or recent form, though such pricing leaves minimal margin for upset scenarios.

ITF women's matches at this level frequently feature ranking disparities that correlate with match outcomes, yet upsets remain statistically meaningful enough to warrant non-zero probabilities in efficient markets. Historical ITF Oliva tournaments have occasionally seen schedule disruptions or player withdrawals, particularly in late May when players manage competing commitments. The settlement window extends to 2 June 2026, providing a seven-day buffer for match completion; any delay beyond that triggers a 50-50 resolution.

Traders monitoring this market should track player injury announcements, tournament draw confirmations, and any weather-related scheduling changes in the week preceding the match. Recent ITF circuit reports and player social media activity typically signal withdrawal intentions 48–72 hours before scheduled play. The current 100% pricing suggests the market has already incorporated available information about both players' fitness and commitment to the event, leaving resolution contingent primarily on match execution rather than participation uncertainty.

Wikipedia Context

  • Itolia

    Itolia is a genus of robber flies in the family Asilidae. There are about five described species in Itolia.

  • Itolia maculata

    Itolia maculata is a species of robber flies in the family Asilidae.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "ITF Oliva: Alba Maria Coromina Boluda vs Ares Teixido Garcia" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$625 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "ITF Oliva: Alba Maria Coromina Boluda vs Ares Teixido Garcia"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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