Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Selina Atay and Anja Wildgruber in the ITF Women Kayseri, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Selina Atay' if Selina Atay advances against Anja Wildgruber. This market will resolve to 'Anja Wildgruber' if Anja Wildgruber advances against Selina Atay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Selina Atay vs Anja Wildgruber | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Selina Atay and Anja Wildgruber are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament in Kayseri, Turkey on 27 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability for this match occurring and resolving to a winner, reflecting either exceptionally high confidence in match completion or minimal trading volume at the extremes. ITF Women's events at this tier typically proceed as scheduled unless weather or player withdrawal intervenes; cancellations remain rare but carry material settlement risk given the market's 50-50 tie-break clause for matches delayed beyond seven days without completion.
Historical precedent suggests ITF tournaments in Turkey maintain reliable scheduling, though spring weather patterns and player injury withdrawals warrant monitoring. Both competitors' recent form and entry confirmations will signal genuine match probability closer to the event date. Atay, a German-Turkish player, competes regularly on the ITF circuit; Wildgruber, Austrian, has ITF experience but limited recent tournament activity at this level. The 100% YES reading likely reflects baseline assumption of match execution rather than substantive directional conviction on either player's advancement.
Traders should track official ITF and tournament communications for withdrawal announcements, which typically emerge 48–72 hours pre-match. Weather forecasts for Kayseri in late May and any injury updates from either player's social media or WTA/ITF databases represent the primary catalysts for repricing. The seven-day delay clause creates a distinct settlement boundary; matches abandoned mid-play but awarded to one player resolve to that player, not 50-50.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Selina Atay vs Anja Wildgruber" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: