Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Ilinca Dalina Amariei and Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni in the ITF Women Focsani, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilinca Dalina Amariei' if Ilinca Dalina Amariei advances against Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni. This market will resolve to 'Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni' if Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni advances against Ilinca Dalina Amariei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Focsani: Ilinca Dalina Amariei vs Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 59% YES | 42% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Ilinca Dalina Amariei faces Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni in an ITF Women's tournament match scheduled for 2 June 2026 at Focsani. The current order book on Polymarket prices Amariei's advancement at 59%, reflecting modest confidence in her victory. Both players compete primarily on the ITF circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on current form, recent tournament results, and head-to-head records. The 59% probability suggests traders view this as a relatively competitive encounter rather than a heavily favoured matchup.
Romanian ITF tournaments typically attract players with similar ranking profiles and experience levels. Historical patterns on the ITF Women's circuit show that matches between players of comparable standing often settle near 50-55% probabilities, with shifts occurring when one competitor demonstrates recent momentum or possesses a documented advantage in playing style. The current 59% lean towards Amariei indicates traders have identified some edge, whether from recent wins, surface preference data, or prior encounters.
Traders should monitor tournament draws and any player withdrawals through the settlement window closing 9 June 2026. ITF scheduling occasionally shifts matches or produces cancellations, particularly in lower-tier events. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled remains the primary catalyst; any postponement beyond seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent form updates and any official ITF communications regarding the Focsani event will clarify whether the current probability reflects genuine competitive advantage or merely early-market positioning.
The ITTF-Oceania Cup is an annual table tennis event held by the International Table Tennis Federation (ITTF). The event features men's and women's singles tournaments, with the winners qualifying for the table tennis World Cup.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Focsani: Ilinca Dalina Amariei vs Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: