Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Joao Victor Couto Loureiro in the ITF Men Cuiaba, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida' if Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida advances against Joao Victor Couto Loureiro. This market will resolve to 'Joao Victor Couto Loureiro' if Joao Victor Couto Loureiro advances against Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Cuiaba: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | 92% YES | 8% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida faces Joao Victor Couto Loureiro in an ITF Men's tournament match scheduled for 3 June 2026 in Cuiabá, Brazil. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 92% implied probability favouring De Almeida's advancement, suggesting substantial confidence in the Brazilian's ability to progress past his domestic opponent. This pricing has formed through active trading on the platform's order book, where the YES side commands significant depth relative to NO positions.
Both players compete primarily on the ITF circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on recent form, surface adaptation, and head-to-head records. De Almeida's higher ranking and seeding status at ITF events typically correlates with advancement probabilities in this range, though ITF tournaments feature greater variance than ATP-level competition. Historical ITF Cuiabá results show clay-court specialists from Brazil often perform well at home venues, which may partially explain the elevated probability for De Almeida rather than reflecting a decisive skill gap alone.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament draws and any withdrawal announcements through the ITF website in the weeks preceding 3 June. Weather conditions in Cuiabá during early June could affect clay-court play and scheduling. The settlement window closes 10 June, allowing a seven-day buffer for match completion or rescheduling before resolution criteria trigger. Any injury updates or late-draw changes would likely shift the order book materially from current levels.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Cuiaba: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$22 in lifetime turnover and $244 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $22 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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