Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Milos Karol and Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Prostejov, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Milos Karol' if Milos Karol advances against Carlo Alberto Caniato. This market will resolve to 'Carlo Alberto Caniato' if Carlo Alberto Caniato advances against Milos Karol. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Prostejov: Milos Karol vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Prostejov: Milos Karol vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Prostejov: Milos Karol vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Prostejov: Milos Karol vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Set 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Prostejov: Milos Karol vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Prostejov: Milos Karol vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Prostejov: Milos Karol vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Match O/U 22.5 | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Prostejov: Milos Karol vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Match O/U 23.5 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Milos Karol and Carlo Alberto Caniato are scheduled to meet in the Prostejov tournament on 2 June 2026. The market currently reflects 79% implied probability for Karol's advancement, as shown across Polymarket's order book. This pricing suggests the market views Karol as a clear favourite, though the settlement window extends to 9 June, allowing seven days for the match to conclude before resolution defaults to 50-50 if incomplete.
Karol, a Czech player competing on home soil, typically benefits from court familiarity and crowd support at Prostejov—a factor that historically elevates domestic players' performance in Central European clay tournaments. Caniato, an Italian competitor, brings experience from the ATP Challenger circuit but faces the structural disadvantage of playing away from his base. The current 79% probability aligns with typical market pricing for home-court advantages in lower-tier professional tennis, where surface preference and travel fatigue carry measurable weight.
Traders should monitor official tournament draws and any late withdrawals through the ATP Challenger Tour website, as Prostejov occasionally experiences fixture adjustments due to weather or player injury. Court surface conditions—Prostejov plays on clay—remain stable variables. The primary catalyst affecting this market would be either player's withdrawal announcement or confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled. Delayed starts beyond the seven-day buffer would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, a tail risk currently priced into the order book's depth.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Prostejov: Milos Karol vs Carlo Alberto Caniato" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $30K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: