Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Ronit Karki and Manish Sureshkumar in the Bengaluru 2, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ronit Karki' if Ronit Karki advances against Manish Sureshkumar. This market will resolve to 'Manish Sureshkumar' if Manish Sureshkumar advances against Ronit Karki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumar | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumar Set 1 Winner | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumar Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumar Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 37% YES | 64% NO |
| Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumar Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumar Match O/U 22.5 | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumar Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Ronit Karki and Manish Sureshkumar are scheduled to meet in the Bengaluru 2 tournament on 12 May 2026. The match represents a domestic Indian professional tennis fixture where the winner advances in the draw. Current order-book activity on Polymarket prices Karki's advancement at 41 per cent implied probability, reflecting modest confidence in his progression relative to Sureshkumar.
Indian domestic tennis rankings and recent tournament performance form the primary basis for assessing this matchup. Both players compete regularly on the ITF and domestic circuits; historical head-to-head records, surface preference data, and recent form trajectories typically determine pricing in comparable lower-tier professional matches. The 41 per cent probability suggests the market perceives Sureshkumar as the marginal favourite, though the spread indicates meaningful uncertainty about the outcome.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any official scheduling updates from the Bengaluru 2 organisers through early May. Player injury announcements or withdrawal notices would trigger immediate repricing. The settlement window closes 19 May 2026 at 07:00 UTC, allowing a one-week buffer beyond the scheduled date; matches delayed beyond that threshold or cancelled outright resolve to 50-50. Recent ATP and WTA scheduling disruptions have occasionally affected domestic Indian tournaments, making venue and date confirmations worth tracking as the event approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumar" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$767 in lifetime turnover and $25K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $767 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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