Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Yunchaokete Bu and Lloyd Harris in the Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Lloyd Harris. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Yunchaokete Bu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 21.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 22.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris Set 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris Match O/U 23.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Yunchaokete Bu faces Lloyd Harris in a first-round match at the Birmingham tournament, originally scheduled for 1 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Bu's advancement, indicating the market has priced this as a near-certainty outcome. This extreme skew typically emerges when one player holds a substantial ranking advantage, recent form edge, or head-to-head record that traders view as decisive.
Historical context suggests such lopsided probabilities in early-round ATP matches often reflect genuine disparities in player calibre. Bu, ranked significantly higher than Harris in recent seasons, would be expected to advance in most scenarios. However, grass-court tournaments introduce variability—Harris's serve-and-volley game has occasionally troubled higher-ranked opponents on quick surfaces, and early-round upsets do occur, albeit rarely when the ranking gap is pronounced. Markets pricing matches at 100% typically leave little room for the underdog narrative.
Traders should monitor official tournament scheduling confirmations through the ATP and Birmingham tournament websites, as the 7-day delay clause creates a settlement contingency. Surface conditions and weather patterns in early June can affect serve-dominant players disproportionately. Any last-minute withdrawals or injury announcements would trigger immediate repricing. The settlement window closes 8 June at 09:30 UTC, providing a narrow window for match completion; delays beyond that date without resolution would force a 50-50 split regardless of match status.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$204K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $178K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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