Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Boyer and Aziz Dougaz in the Tunis, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Boyer' if Tristan Boyer advances against Aziz Dougaz. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Dougaz' if Aziz Dougaz advances against Tristan Boyer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougaz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougaz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougaz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougaz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougaz Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougaz Set 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougaz Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougaz Match O/U 23.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Tristan Boyer and Aziz Dougaz are scheduled to meet in a tennis match in Tunis on 11 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Boyer's advancement at 75%, reflecting a substantial favourite position. Settlement occurs on 18 May 2026, allowing a seven-day window for the match to conclude; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that period triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Boyer's ranking and recent form relative to Dougaz's trajectory will determine whether the current probability reflects genuine skill differential or market overweighting of available information. Historical clay-court matchups between similarly-ranked players typically show 65–75% probabilities favouring the higher-ranked competitor, suggesting the market's current pricing aligns with conventional expectations. Comparable Tunis tournament results from prior years indicate that seeding and recent tournament performance account for most variance in match outcomes at this level.
Traders should monitor official ATP or ITF announcements regarding player withdrawals, injury reports, or schedule changes in the fortnight preceding the match. Weather conditions in Tunis during early May—particularly wind and court surface moisture—can favour certain playing styles. Any late-breaking news on either player's fitness or recent match results will likely shift the order book; the seven-day settlement window provides a buffer, but delays beyond that threshold would force resolution to 50-50 regardless of match status.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougaz" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$55K in lifetime turnover and $1.5M of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $55K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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