Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Boymatov" if Rakhmatullo Boymatov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Caleb Hall at Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk, scheduled for May 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Hall" if Caleb Hall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Boymatov vs. Hall | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Rakhmatullo Boymatov faces Caleb Hall in a light heavyweight preliminary bout at Zuffa Boxing 6, scheduled for 10 May 2026 at an event headlined by Mosley Jr. versus Bohachuk. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Boymatov, suggesting traders are pricing near-certainty in his victory. This extreme skew typically emerges when one fighter carries substantially stronger credentials, recent form, or when limited liquidity concentrates around a consensus view.
Light heavyweight preliminary fights at major promotions rarely settle as draws or no-contests, with cancellations beyond the scheduled date occurring in fewer than 5% of cases historically. The 50-50 resolution clause applies only if the bout is declared a draw, technical draw, no contest, or postponed past 24 May 2026. Given the event's confirmed date and both fighters' apparent readiness, the primary settlement paths remain a Boymatov or Hall victory.
Traders should monitor official UFC announcements regarding fighter withdrawals or medical clearances through early May. Weigh-ins typically occur 24 hours before the event, providing final confirmation of fighter participation. The settlement window closes 2026-05-11 at 03:59:59 UTC, allowing roughly 24 hours post-fight for official result confirmation. Any last-minute schedule changes or fighter injury announcements would be the primary catalyst shifting current market pricing away from the present consensus.
Zuffa Boxing is a professional boxing promotion company founded by CEO of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), Dana White, and Chairman of the Saudi Arabian General Entertainment Authority (GEA), Turki Al-Sheikh. The company is a joint venture between Sela and TKO Group Holdings (TKO), and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ufc.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Zuffa Boxing 6: Boymatov vs. Hall (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$145 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $145 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ufc.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: