Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the table tennis match between Honoka Hashimoto and Nina Mittelham in a WTT event, scheduled for May 9 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hashimoto' if Honoka Hashimoto wins against Nina Mittelham. This market will resolve to 'Mittelham' if Nina Mittelham wins against Honoka Hashimoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| WTT - Women's Singles: Honoka Hashimoto vs Nina Mittelham | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Honoka Hashimoto of Japan faces Nina Mittelham of Germany in a Women's Table Tennis (WTT) singles match scheduled for 9 May 2026 at 6:30 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certainty event with minimal uncertainty over the match outcome itself. This extreme probability typically signals either exceptionally one-sided matchup fundamentals or, more commonly, high confidence that the match will simply take place as scheduled rather than conviction in a specific winner.
Hashimoto, ranked within the top 50 globally, holds a technical edge in most head-to-head comparisons against Mittelham, a mid-tier European competitor. Historical WTT fixtures between players of differing rankings show that favourites win approximately 65–75% of the time, though upsets remain routine in table tennis. The 100% probability reading here likely reflects the market's assessment of match certainty rather than outcome certainty—traders are pricing in that cancellation, postponement beyond the 7-day window, or retirement scenarios carry negligible probability given WTT's professional scheduling standards.
Traders should monitor WTT's official fixture confirmations and any injury announcements from either player in the week preceding 9 May. Weather disruptions are immaterial for indoor table tennis. The settlement window closes 16 May, providing a one-week buffer for match completion. Any late withdrawal or venue change would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, fundamentally reshaping current pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "WTT - Women's Singles: Honoka Hashimoto vs Nina Mittelham" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$205 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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