Sports

Trade: WTT - Men's Singles: Uros Ninkovic vs Yun-Ju Lin

50% YES 50% NO

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the table tennis match between Uros Ninkovic and Yun-Ju Lin in a WTT event, scheduled for May 5 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ninkovic' if Uros Ninkovic wins against Yun-Ju Lin. This market will resolve to 'Lin' if Yun-Ju Lin wins against Uros Ninkovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$0
Total Volume
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24h Volume
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Open Interest
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Market outcomes

WTT - Men's Singles: Uros Ninkovic vs Yun-Ju Lin 50% YES50% NO

Market context

Uros Ninkovic and Yun-Ju Lin are scheduled to compete in a World Table Tennis (WTT) men's singles match on 5 May at 7:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating traders view this as a genuine toss-up with neither player commanding a clear edge in the market's assessment. This equilibrium probability suggests uncertainty about relative form, recent match outcomes, or insufficient historical data between these specific competitors to establish a consensus lean.

Ninkovic, a Serbian player, and Lin, a Taiwanese competitor, operate at different tiers of professional table tennis. Historical matchups between players of disparate rankings typically show the higher-ranked player favoured, though upsets occur regularly in table tennis where tactical adjustments and momentum shifts can swing matches decisively. The 50-50 pricing may reflect either a genuine absence of head-to-head history, comparable recent form between the pair, or limited liquidity establishing a default midpoint on the order book.

Traders should monitor WTT official announcements regarding any schedule changes, player withdrawals, or injury disclosures in the week preceding the match. Recent form updates—particularly tournament results from either player in April—could shift the probability once market participants have fresher data. The settlement window extends to 12 May, providing a one-week buffer beyond the scheduled date; matches cancelled or unresolved beyond that threshold resolve to 50-50, creating a tail risk for positions taken at current prices.

Wikipedia Context

  • WTT Contender Taiyuan 2026

    The WTT Contender Taiyuan 2026 was a table tennis tournament that took place at the Taiyuan Binhe Sports Center, Taiyuan, China, from 7 to 12 April and had a total prize of US$100,000.

  • WTT Contender Lagos 2026

    The WTT Contender Lagos 2026 is a table tennis tournament that take place at the Sir Molade Okoya Thomas Indoor Sports Hall, Lagos, Nigeria, from 19 to 24 May and have a total prize of US$100,000.

  • Ben Watt
    Ben Watt

    Benjamin Brian Thomas Watt is a British musician, singer, songwriter, author, DJ, and radio presenter, best known as a member of the duo Everything but the Girl.

  • Mel Watt
    Mel Watt

    Melvin Luther Watt is an American politician who served as director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency from 2014 to 2019. He was appointed by President Barack Obama. He is a former United States representative for North Carolina's 12th congressional district, from 1993 to 2014. He is a member of the Democratic Party.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "WTT - Men's Singles: Uros Ninkovic vs Yun-Ju Lin" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

What is the current probability for "WTT - Men's Singles: Uros Ninkovic vs Yun-Ju Lin"?

As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 50%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "WTT - Men's Singles: Uros Ninkovic vs Yun-Ju Lin"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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