Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the table tennis match between Algeria and New Caledonia in a WTT event, scheduled for April 30 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Algeria' if Algeria wins against New Caledonia. This market will resolve to 'Caledonia' if New Caledonia wins against Algeria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| WTT - Men's Singles: Algeria vs New Caledonia | 100% YES | 0% NO |
A men's singles table tennis match between Algeria and New Caledonia is scheduled for 30 April at 7:30AM ET as part of a WTT event. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Algeria, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certain outcome. This extreme confidence sits at the settlement window's opening, with resolution occurring by 7 May.
Algeria holds a substantial ranking advantage in men's table tennis. The nation's top players compete regularly in international circuits and WTT competitions, whilst New Caledonia—a French overseas collectivity with a population under 300,000—has limited representation in professional table tennis infrastructure. Historical matchups between nations of vastly different competitive depth typically favour the higher-ranked federation, and the current probability reflects this structural disparity. However, individual match outcomes in table tennis remain volatile; upsets occur when lower-ranked players execute tactical play effectively or when fatigue affects seeded competitors.
Traders should monitor official WTT scheduling confirmations and any player injury announcements in the days preceding 30 April. Withdrawal or substitution of either player could alter match dynamics substantially. The settlement window's seven-day buffer accounts for potential delays, though WTT events typically proceed on schedule. Current market pricing leaves minimal room for New Caledonian victory, suggesting the order book has already priced in Algeria's ranking superiority with high confidence.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "WTT - Men's Singles: Algeria vs New Caledonia" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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