Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This is a polymarket on whether Wrexham A.F.C. will be promoted to the English Premier League (EPL) for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current English football league season. If Wrexham is officially promoted to the EPL for the 2026–27 season, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Official promotion means Wrexham has secured a place in the EPL for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Championship, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the English Football League (EFL) and the Premier League.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Wrexham A.F.C. must secure promotion to the English Premier League for the 2026–27 season, either through finishing in the Championship's top two or winning the playoff tournament. The current settlement window closes on 10 June 2026, capturing the conclusion of the 2025–26 league campaign. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the market's assessment that this outcome carries negligible likelihood given Wrexham's current position and trajectory.
Wrexham's path to the Premier League remains exceptionally narrow. The club spent two seasons in the National League (fifth tier) before securing promotion to the Championship in May 2024. Historical precedent shows that newly promoted Championship sides rarely reach the Premier League within two seasons; most require multiple campaigns to build the infrastructure, squad depth and consistency required for top-flight competition. Comparable cases—such as Fulham's trajectory through the 2010s—demonstrate that even well-resourced clubs typically need three to five years to establish themselves at Championship level before mounting serious promotion challenges.
Traders should monitor Wrexham's performance metrics throughout the 2025–26 season, including league position updates, managerial changes, and significant player transfers. The club's ownership structure, involving Hollywood investors, has generated sustained media attention but does not guarantee on-pitch results. Key catalysts include mid-season form assessments (January 2026) and the final Championship standings as they emerge in April and May 2026. Any unexpected managerial instability or injury to key players could further diminish promotion prospects.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$11K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $131 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 9 months — long enough that the order book is mature and price is well-anchored to fundamentals.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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