Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Ukraine Premier Liha game between SK Poltava and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| SK Poltava | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 100% YES | 0% NO |
SK Poltava will host FK Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine Premier Liha on 10 May 2026, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for a Poltava halftime victory, indicating market participants are pricing in either a draw or Shakhtar away win as the only plausible outcomes at the interval.
Shakhtar Donetsk has historically dominated Ukrainian football, winning multiple league titles and consistently fielding squads with superior depth and European competition experience. Poltava, by contrast, operates as a mid-table side with limited resources for squad development. In comparable fixtures between top-tier and mid-tier Ukrainian clubs, halftime leads for the stronger side occur in roughly 40–50% of matches, whilst draws at the interval account for 35–45%, leaving home victories at under 15%. The current zero probability assigned to Poltava reflects this structural imbalance rather than an extreme market view.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official lineups released 24 hours before kickoff, particularly regarding Shakhtar's squad availability following any European fixture congestion. Fixture scheduling in the Ukrainian Premier Liha occasionally shifts due to security considerations or broadcast arrangements. The settlement window closes at 12:30 UTC on match day, allowing roughly four hours post-kickoff for confirmation. Any late postponement announcements would trigger market resolution protocols on Polymarket's platform.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://upl.ua/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "SK Poltava vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$937 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://upl.ua/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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