Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for May 7 at 3:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| SC Freiburg (-1.5) | 89% YES | 12% NO |
| SC Braga (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SC Freiburg (-2.5) | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| SC Braga (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 75% YES | 26% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 14% YES | 86% NO |
SC Freiburg will face SC Braga in a UEFA Europa League fixture on 7 May 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The match represents a knockout-stage encounter in Europe's secondary club competition, with the winner advancing further in the tournament structure. The 71% implied probability reflects market expectations favouring one side, though the specific market outcome (whether additional betting markets will be offered) remains contingent on bookmaker decisions and regulatory approval.
Historical precedent suggests that major European fixtures consistently attract expanded market offerings from established sportsbooks. UEFA Europa League matches, particularly those involving established sides like Freiburg and Braga, typically generate sufficient trading volume to justify multiple market variants covering goals, corners, cards, and player performance metrics. The probability reflects confidence that standard market expansion will occur, though unexpected regulatory changes or broadcaster restrictions could alter availability.
Traders should monitor official UEFA fixture confirmations and any scheduling adjustments closer to the settlement date. Bookmaker announcements regarding market expansion typically occur 7–10 days before high-profile matches. Fixture congestion affecting either club's domestic league schedule may influence whether operators prioritise this particular match. Recent industry practice shows that Portuguese and German club fixtures in European competitions receive consistent market coverage, supporting the elevated probability assessment.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.uefa.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$356K in lifetime turnover and $269K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $355K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.uefa.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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