Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Süper Lig game, scheduled for May 9 at 1:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Konyaspor (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Konyaspor (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Konyaspor will host Fenerbahçe SK in a Süper Lig fixture on 9 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 ET. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either extreme confidence in a particular outcome or, more likely, an absence of meaningful liquidity at the ask side, leaving the market effectively unpriced at present. As traders begin positioning ahead of the settlement window closure on 9 May at 17:00 UTC, order book depth will determine whether this probability shifts materially or remains anchored at the extremes.
Fenerbahçe have historically dominated this fixture, winning the majority of recent encounters and maintaining a superior league position. Konyaspor, based in central Anatolia, typically operate as mid-table competitors in the Süper Lig. The current probability structure suggests traders are pricing in either a Fenerbahçe victory or a draw as overwhelmingly likely, though the absence of visible bids or asks at intermediate prices indicates the market has not yet attracted sufficient participation to establish a consensus range.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries or suspensions in the weeks preceding the match, fixture congestion across both clubs' schedules, and any late changes to the scheduled kick-off time. Fenerbahçe's position in the final weeks of the season—whether they remain in title contention or European qualification battles—will influence squad rotation decisions. The timing of this fixture relative to other Süper Lig matches and potential European commitments will shape both teams' tactical approach and available personnel.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://tff.org/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$35K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://tff.org/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: