Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between NEOM SC and Al Ettifaq Saudi Club, scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club match originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
NEOM SC and Al Ettifaq Saudi Club will contest a Saudi Professional League fixture on 21 May 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any scoreline not explicitly listed resolving to "Any Other Score." Current order book activity on Polymarket implies a 49% probability for the YES outcome, suggesting moderate conviction amongst traders that one of the specified exact scores will occur rather than an unlisted result.
Exact-score markets in domestic football leagues typically reflect both team form and historical scoring patterns. NEOM SC, as a relatively newer franchise in the Saudi Professional League, and Al Ettifaq, an established club, have different offensive and defensive profiles that influence the likelihood of specific scorelines. Markets of this type generally see YES probabilities between 35–55% depending on the number of listed outcomes and the teams' typical goal output. The 49% reading here suggests traders view the listed scores as reasonably probable but acknowledge substantial tail risk in unexpected results.
Traders should monitor team news closer to the fixture date, particularly injury updates and squad rotation decisions, as both clubs may have competing domestic or continental commitments. The Saudi Professional League's fixture scheduling and any potential fixture congestion in late May could affect tactical approach and goal-scoring likelihood. Recent form data and head-to-head records between these sides will become more relevant as the settlement window approaches, potentially shifting the order book's probability distribution across specific scorelines.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.slstat.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $491 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.slstat.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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