Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Romania SuperLiga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026 between FC Botoşani and FC Petrolul Ploieşti.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Botoşani | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (FC Botoşani vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FC Botoşani will travel to face FC Petrolul Ploieşti in a Romania SuperLiga fixture on Sunday, 10 May 2026. The match represents a mid-to-lower-table encounter in Romania's top division, where both clubs typically compete outside the championship contention zone. Settlement occurs at 13:00 UTC on the scheduled match date, with the market currently reflecting a 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, indicating no active bids at any price level for this outcome.
Romania's SuperLiga has historically shown competitive balance across its mid-table sides, with Botoşani and Petrolul Ploieşti occupying similar competitive strata over recent seasons. Both clubs have demonstrated inconsistent form patterns typical of sides without sustained European qualification ambitions. The 0% probability reading on today's order book reflects illiquidity rather than certainty—sparse trading volume in lower-profile Eastern European fixtures often produces extreme probability edges until meaningful liquidity enters the market. Comparable SuperLiga matches between similarly ranked sides typically see probabilities cluster around 35–45% for home advantage, suggesting the current reading warrants scrutiny once trading activity materialises.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official SuperLiga scheduling confirmations through early May, particularly regarding injury updates or fixture postponements. Recent fixture congestion in Romanian football has occasionally prompted schedule adjustments. Squad availability for both sides, especially any late withdrawals of key players, could shift match dynamics. The settlement window's precision to 13:00 UTC requires confirmation that the match proceeds as scheduled; any postponement would trigger market resolution procedures outlined in Polymarket's terms.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.lpf.ro/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Botoşani vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$897 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.lpf.ro/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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