Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming NWSL game between Seattle Reign FC and Washington Spirit, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Seattle Reign FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Washington Spirit | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Seattle Reign FC will host Washington Spirit on 10 May 2026 at 7:00 PM ET in an NWSL regular season fixture. The market settles on the halftime result after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, with three possible outcomes: Reign victory, draw, or Spirit away win. The current 0% implied probability on the YES position reflects the order book's assessment across all three halftime outcome markets.
NWSL halftime markets historically show that home sides achieve roughly 35–40% halftime leads in regular season play, whilst draws occur in approximately 25–30% of cases and away sides secure halftime advantages in 30–35% of matches. These distributions vary by team strength, fixture congestion, and tactical approach. Neither Reign nor Spirit has exceptional halftime dominance records; both clubs typically play measured opening periods. The 0% reading on Polymarket's order book suggests traders are currently pricing one specific halftime outcome as the consensus expectation, though liquidity constraints may amplify this extreme positioning.
Traders should monitor team news through early May, particularly injury status for key attacking and defensive personnel. Fixture scheduling matters—if either side plays a midweek match before 10 May, fatigue could influence early-game tempo. Weather conditions at the venue may also affect first-half play patterns. Recent NWSL fixture data and official team announcements closer to the match date will clarify whether the current extreme probability reflects genuine consensus or limited order book depth.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$533 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $533 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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