Sports

Trade: Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit - Exact Score

Opened 9 May 2026 · Settles 10 May 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming NWSL game between Seattle Reign FC and Washington Spirit, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: $0
Total Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Open Interest: —

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Market outcomes

Exact Score: 0-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-1	100% YES	0% NO
Exact Score: 1-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-2	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-1	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 2-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-3	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-2	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

Seattle Reign FC will face Washington Spirit on 10 May 2026 at 7:00 PM ET in an NWSL regular-season fixture. The market resolves on the exact final score at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any unmatched outcome settling as "Any Other Score." The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 10 May, providing a four-hour buffer after the scheduled kick-off.

The 0% implied probability currently reflected in Polymarket's order book suggests no traders are backing any single exact-score outcome with meaningful capital. This is typical for exact-score markets in football, where the combinatorial nature of possible results (1–0, 2–1, 3–2, etc.) fragments liquidity across dozens of options. Historical NWSL matches between these sides show typical scorelines clustering around 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 results, though the league's competitive depth means draws and low-scoring outcomes remain common. The current probability distribution likely reflects this fragmentation rather than genuine uncertainty about whether a match will occur.

Traders should monitor team news through early May, particularly injury updates affecting key attacking or defensive personnel. Washington Spirit's recent form and Seattle's home-ground advantage at Lumen Field are material factors. Fixture congestion in the NWSL calendar occasionally produces postponements; confirmation of the scheduled date should be verified closer to the window. Weather conditions at kick-off may influence scoring patterns, though Seattle's indoor venue mitigates this concern.

Wikipedia Context

Seattle Reign FC
Seattle Reign FC, previously known as Reign FC and OL Reign, is an American professional soccer team based in Seattle, Washington, that competes in the National Women's Soccer League (NWSL). Founded in 2012, it is one of eight inaugural members of the NWSL. Since June 2024, the Reign are owned by the private equity firm the Carlyle Group and Major League Soc
Seattle Reign (basketball)
The Seattle Reign was the first women's professional basketball franchise in Seattle, Washington, USA. The Reign was a charter member of the American Basketball League (ABL). The team played from 1996 through 1998. The team's name was a reference to the city's reputation for rain and its location in King County, with an additional allusion to "The Reign Man"
List of Seattle Reign FC players
Seattle Reign FC is an American soccer club founded in 2012. The club is an inaugural member of the National Women's Soccer League (NWSL) and began playing in the 2013 NWSL season.
Seattle Rainiers
The Seattle Rainiers, originally named the Seattle Indians and also known as the Seattle Angels, were a Minor League Baseball team in Seattle, Washington, that played in the Pacific Coast League from 1903 to 1906 and 1919 to 1968. They were previously named for the indigenous Native American population of the Pacific Northwest and changed their name after be

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Seattle Reign FC vs. Washington Spirit - Exact Score"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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