Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 16 at 8:00PM ET: If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres". If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 69% YES | 31% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| O/U 6.5 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| O/U 7.5 | 40% YES | 61% NO |
The Buffalo Sabres face the Montreal Canadiens in an NHL matchup scheduled for 16 May at 8:00PM ET, with settlement occurring the following day. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 45% implied probability for a Sabres victory, suggesting the market views Montreal as slight favourites. This probability emerges from real-time trading activity as participants price in team form, roster composition, and playoff positioning relative to the fixture date.
Historical matchups between these Atlantic Division rivals provide context for evaluating the current odds. Over recent seasons, the Sabres and Canadiens have maintained relatively balanced head-to-head records, though performance variance has been substantial depending on playoff seeding and injury status at the time of play. The May scheduling suggests this fixture falls within playoff territory, where single-elimination dynamics and team momentum become pronounced factors. Teams entering such contests with stronger recent form and healthier rosters typically command higher implied probabilities.
Traders should monitor roster announcements in the days preceding the match, particularly regarding injury status for key players on either side. Goaltender availability and defensive depth frequently determine playoff outcomes. Additionally, the specific playoff round and seeding will influence team motivation and tactical approach—a lower-seeded team fighting for survival may employ different strategies than one already securing advancement. Recent team performance trends, including goals-for and goals-against metrics from the preceding week, will provide concrete data for reassessing the current 45% probability as game day approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nhl.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Sabres vs. Canadiens" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$750 in lifetime turnover and $24K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $750 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nhl.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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