Trade: D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLS game between D.C. United SC and Chicago Fire FC, scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC match originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $28K
- Total Volume
- —
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- —
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
Market context
D.C. United and Chicago Fire meet on 13 May 2026 in an MLS regular-season fixture. The market prices the probability of an exact final score at 23%, reflecting the current order book on Polymarket. This implies traders are pricing in meaningful uncertainty around the precise scoreline, with the listed outcomes (likely including 1–0, 2–1, draws, and similar results) collectively accounting for roughly one-quarter of all possible match conclusions.
Exact-score markets in football typically see low individual probabilities for any single outcome because regulation matches generate a wide distribution of results. Historical MLS data shows that whilst draws and narrow victories (1–0, 2–1) occur frequently, no single scoreline accounts for more than 8–10% of matches. The 23% aggregate probability suggests the market is pricing a moderately concentrated set of likely outcomes rather than an extremely dispersed one, implying traders perceive meaningful constraints on how this particular fixture will unfold.
Traders should monitor team news ahead of the settlement window closure on 13 May at 23:30 UTC. Injury announcements, lineup confirmations, and recent form—particularly any shifts in either side's attacking or defensive stability—will influence which scorelines appear most probable. Chicago's recent goal-scoring patterns and D.C. United's defensive record in 2026 will shape the order book as match day approaches. Weather conditions and venue factors at the fixture location may also shift implied probabilities in the final hours before kick-off.
Wikipedia Context
-
United SCThe United Sports Club is a professional football club based in Kolkata, West Bengal, India. United SC was founded in 1927. The club competes in the I-League 2, as well as the Calcutta Football League, the oldest football league in Asia.
-
United SC (Paris)
The United Sports Club, better known as United SC, was a football team based in Paris that existed between 1894 and 1909. In 1906, United SC merged with Swiss Football Club to form the US Suisse Paris.
-
United Schools of Peru (MUN)
United Schools of Peru (USP) is an inter-school student club headquartered in Lima, Peru, aimed to promote debate and discussion on current national and international issues in order to form leading citizens who contribute to development by participating in Model United Nations (MUN) conferences. Beginning its participation in international conferences in 20
-
United Scenic ArtistsUnited Scenic Artists, Local USA 829, IATSE, formerly known as United Scenic Artists of America (USAA), is an American labor union. It is a nationwide autonomous Local of the International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees. It organizes designers, artists, and craftspeople in the entertainment and decorative arts industries. The organization was part of
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $28K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Related prediction markets
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: