Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres, scheduled for May 19 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres | 58% YES | 42% NO |
| NRFI | 49% YES | 51% NO |
The Los Angeles Dodgers face the San Diego Padres on 19 May at 9:40 PM ET in an NL West divisional matchup. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 58% implied probability for a Dodgers victory, pricing them as the favoured side. This probability emerges from real-time trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools, where traders continuously adjust positions based on available information and their assessments of the teams' relative strength.
Historically, the Dodgers have held a structural advantage in this rivalry over recent seasons, winning the division in most years since 2017. The Padres, however, have shown competitive capability in head-to-head matchups, particularly when their roster remains healthy. The current 58% probability sits within a reasonable range for a home-field advantage scenario (the game location would determine baseline expectations), suggesting the market is pricing neither team as heavily favoured but rather reflecting the Dodgers' marginal edge based on recent form and roster composition.
Traders should monitor roster availability in the days preceding the match, particularly injury reports for key position players or starting pitchers. Bullpen depth and recent performance trends matter considerably in divisional play. Weather conditions at the venue on game day can influence run-scoring expectations and thus shift probabilities. Any late-breaking lineup announcements or pitching changes announced within 24 hours of first pitch typically trigger repricing on the order book, so monitoring official team communications remains essential for position management.
Below is a partial list of Minor League Baseball players in the Los Angeles Dodgers system.
This is a list of award winners and league leaders for the Los Angeles Dodgers professional baseball franchise, including its years in Brooklyn (1883–1957).
The following is a list of players, both past and current, who appeared at least in one game for the Los Angeles Dodgers National League franchise (1958–present), and for the Brooklyn-based teams known as the Atlantics (1884), Grays (1885–1887), Bridegrooms, Grooms (1891–1895), Superbas (1899–1910), Dodgers and Robins (1914–1931).
The Los Angeles Dodgers Radio Network is a network that consists of 27 radio stations that air Major League Baseball games of the Los Angeles Dodgers in parts of seven states and one U.S. territory and in three languages. As of June 2012, 20 stations broadcast games in English, while another six broadcast them in Spanish. In 2013, Korean broadcasts were adde
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlb.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlb.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 27 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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