Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Morocco Botola Pro game, scheduled for Thursday, June 4, 2026 between AS FAR and Difaâ Hassani El Jadida.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| AS FAR | 67% YES | 33% NO |
| Draw (AS FAR vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida) | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Difaâ Hassani El Jadida | 11% YES | 89% NO |
AS FAR and Difaâ Hassani El Jadida will meet in the Moroccan Botola Pro league on 4 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices a YES outcome at 68%, reflecting market participants' assessment that AS FAR will win or draw this fixture. This probability has formed through real-time trading activity and reflects the collective view of traders positioned across the book's depth.
AS FAR, based in Rabat, has historically been one of Morocco's stronger domestic sides, whilst Difaâ Hassani El Jadida competes from a smaller city and typically occupies a mid-table position in the Botola Pro standings. Head-to-head records and recent form disparities between the two clubs inform the current 68% reading. Comparable fixtures involving AS FAR against lower-ranked opposition have historically skewed towards the favourites, though Moroccan domestic football contains sufficient variance that upsets occur regularly enough to price meaningful tail risk into the market.
Traders should monitor team news, injury confirmations, and any fixture rescheduling announcements in the days leading to kickoff. Botola Pro scheduling can shift due to weather or administrative factors. Recent league standings and each side's current winning streak will crystallise as the match date approaches. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC on 4 June, which aligns with typical evening kickoff times in Morocco, leaving minimal window for late-breaking information after the match begins.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.frmf.ma/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "AS FAR vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$35 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.frmf.ma/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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