Resolution criteria on PolyGram: Goal scorers for the La Liga game between Levante UD and CA Osasuna, scheduled for May 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Goalscorer: Carlos Espi | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Goalscorer: Ante Budimir | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Goalscorer: Jose Luis Morales | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Goalscorer: Paco Cortes | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Goalscorer: Aimar Oroz | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Levante UD will face CA Osasuna in a La Liga fixture on 8 May 2026, with the match kicking off at 3:00 PM ET. The market is pricing goal scorer outcomes for this encounter, with current order book activity on Polymarket reflecting a 0% implied probability across the available positions. This pricing suggests minimal liquidity or consensus positioning at present, typical for fixtures scheduled several months ahead where trader interest remains sparse.
Historical precedent for La Liga goal scorer markets shows that pricing tightens substantially as match day approaches, particularly once team sheets and injury reports crystallise. Both Levante and Osasuna have experienced significant squad rotation and financial constraints in recent seasons, affecting their attacking depth. Comparable fixtures between mid-table La Liga sides typically see goal scorer odds shift materially in the 48–72 hours before kick-off, when starting lineups become confirmed and weather conditions are finalised.
Traders should monitor squad announcements from both clubs through April and early May 2026, particularly regarding injuries to key attacking personnel. Osasuna's recent form and European commitments (if applicable) will influence available attacking options, whilst Levante's home advantage at the Estadio Ciutat de València may affect tactical setup. The settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on match day, allowing only pre-match adjustments once lineups are announced. Current zero liquidity suggests this market may see initial price discovery once trading activity begins in earnest.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna - Player Props" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$570 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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