Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming K-League game between Gangwon FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Gangwon FC | 33% YES | 68% NO |
| Draw | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC | 23% YES | 78% NO |
Gangwon FC will host Daejeon Hana Citizen FC on 12 May 2026 in the K-League, with this market settling on the halftime scoreline. The 34% probability currently reflected in Polymarket's order book suggests traders are pricing a Gangwon home win at halftime as a moderately unlikely outcome, with the remaining 66% distributed across draws and away victories. This pricing emerges from live order flow as traders position ahead of the settlement window closing at 10:30 UTC on match day.
K-League halftime markets historically show that home advantage carries modest predictive weight in the first 45 minutes, with halftime results often reflecting early tactical caution rather than the full-match outcome. Gangwon's recent form and home record will anchor expectations; teams playing at their stadium typically generate 40–50% halftime win probabilities when competitive, suggesting the current 34% may indicate either away-side strength or recent Gangwon underperformance. Comparable mid-season fixtures in the K-League show halftime draws occur in roughly 35–40% of matches, with away wins accounting for 20–30%.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official K-League communications for injury confirmations or lineup changes in the days before kick-off, as these directly influence early-match tempo and pressing intensity. Weather conditions on match day—particularly wind and pitch state—can affect first-half play patterns. Daejeon's recent away record and Gangwon's home conversion rates in the opening period will be the primary catalysts shaping order book movement as the settlement window approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.kleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $6K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.kleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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