Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game between Zweigen Kanazawa and Albirex Niigata, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 12:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Albirex Niigata match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 12:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Zweigen Kanazawa will face Albirex Niigata in a J2 League fixture on 10 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability across all listed exact-score outcomes, indicating either extremely tight spreads that have compressed all outcomes to near-zero liquidity, or minimal trading activity in this particular market. This pricing pattern is typical for lower-tier Japanese football matches where retail interest remains limited compared to J1 League fixtures or European competitions.
Albirex Niigata enters the 2026 season as a historically stronger J2 side, having competed at the top tier multiple times, whilst Zweigen Kanazawa represents a newer franchise with less established performance data. Historical J2 matches between comparable mid-table sides typically produce 1–1 draws or narrow home victories at rates between 25–35%, with scorelines like 2–1 or 1–0 appearing in roughly 15–20% of fixtures each. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are either awaiting fixture confirmation or treating exact-score markets as illiquid until closer to match day.
Traders should monitor official J-League fixture confirmations and any squad injury announcements in the weeks preceding the match. Weather conditions in Kanazawa during May and recent form data from both clubs' preceding fixtures will inform expected goal-scoring patterns. The settlement window closes shortly after the final whistle, leaving minimal time for dispute resolution should match postponement occur.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Albirex Niigata - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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