Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Serie B game, scheduled for Friday, May 8, 2026 between FC Südtirol and SS Juve Stabia.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Südtirol | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (FC Südtirol vs. SS Juve Stabia) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| SS Juve Stabia | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FC Südtirol will travel to face SS Juve Stabia in Serie B on Friday, 8 May 2026, in what is scheduled as a regular-season fixture. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, indicating that traders are pricing this event with extreme certainty against occurrence. This pricing typically emerges when the market perceives either a structural barrier to settlement or consensus that the underlying condition has negligible probability of materialisation by the deadline.
Serie B matches between mid-table and lower-positioned sides historically show high completion rates, with fixture postponements or cancellations remaining rare outside of exceptional circumstances such as severe weather or administrative intervention. The 0% reading suggests traders may be interpreting the market parameters narrowly, or that recent squad news, injury reports, or scheduling conflicts have created asymmetric information about whether this particular fixture will proceed as scheduled. Comparable markets on lower-division Italian football typically settle at substantially higher probabilities when fixtures are confirmed and within two months of kick-off.
Traders should monitor official Serie B fixture confirmations and any announcements regarding ground safety, administrative sanctions, or force majeure events affecting either club. Südtirol's recent form and Juve Stabia's league position may influence pre-match narratives, but the current 0% probability suggests the market is pricing something beyond ordinary match uncertainty. Confirmation of the fixture's scheduled date and venue, typically released by the Lega Serie B in the weeks preceding May, will be the primary catalyst for any repricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.legaserieb.it/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Südtirol vs. SS Juve Stabia" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$141K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $130K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.legaserieb.it/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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