Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Ayaho Okude and Kurumi Tamura in the ITF Women Fukui, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 12:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayaho Okude' if Ayaho Okude advances against Kurumi Tamura. This market will resolve to 'Kurumi Tamura' if Kurumi Tamura advances against Ayaho Okude. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ITF Fukui: Ayaho Okude vs Kurumi Tamura | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Ayaho Okude and Kurumi Tamura are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's Fukui tournament on 27 May 2026. The match carries a 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, indicating near-certain execution. Settlement occurs by 3 June 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer for scheduling adjustments or completion delays before the 50-50 tie-break resolution triggers.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this tier show high completion rates, though weather disruptions and player withdrawals remain material risks in Japanese spring tournaments. Comparable ITF events in the Fukui region historically proceed as scheduled, with cancellations rare absent typhoon activity. The current probability reflects confidence in match execution rather than a directional view on either player's likelihood of advancing, since the market structure treats non-completion identically to a competitive result.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any player injury announcements through late May. Fukui's weather patterns in late spring typically favour play, though rain delays are possible. The ITF circuit publishes official schedules approximately two weeks before events; any fixture changes or venue alterations would signal elevated non-completion risk. Since the market currently prices execution certainty, material movement would require credible evidence of cancellation risk or withdrawal, which remains low given both players' active tour status.
The 2025 ITF Fujairah Championships is a professional tennis tournament played on outdoor hard courts. It is the first edition of the tournament which is part of the 2025 ITF Women's World Tennis Tour. It took place in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates between 24 and 30 November 2025.
The 2026 ITF Fujairah Championships is a professional tennis tournament played on outdoor hard courts. It is the second edition of the tournament which is part of the 2026 ITF Women's World Tennis Tour. It took place in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates between 26 January and 1 February 2026. From this year the tournament prize money increased to $100,000 and t
The ITF Fujairah Championships is a tournament for professional female tennis players played on outdoor Hard courts. The event is classified as a $60,000 ITF Women's Circuit tournament and has been held in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, since 2025. Since 2026 the tournament prize money increased to $100,000 and the tournament date changed to end of January.
The 2010 ITF Men's Circuit consisted of 502 'Futures' tournaments played year round, around the world.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Fukui: Ayaho Okude vs Kurumi Tamura" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$263 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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